Morning Note - Material stocks to offer support

by James Gerrish

**23/09/10  -  8.10am  -  by James Gerrish** 


US stocks slipped marginally overnight led by a drop in Microsoft after the company tapped the bond market for $4.75 bn. Financial stocks continued to fall following the trend from Tuesdays session with JP Morgan and  Bank of America off 1.6% and 1.7% respectively. 

It seemed like there was some lingering concern about the Fed Statement on Tuesday that the US economy  is still likely to need further stimulus. This cast a shadow over some growth assets - Oil was the standout down more than 50c again overnight. It's actually quite interesting to see the energy stocks on the local market rising yesterday despite a negative session in the Crude market. To me, this positive price action in stocks which conflicts with what we're seeing in the actual commodity could be telling us something - maybe some possible corporate activity in the sector. 


At the end of last week, we suggested a number of stocks in the energy sector that we found interesting. Origin Energy (ORG) was one of these and this has now broken the $16 resistance area. We rate this as a BUY. (See full research report attached). Oil search (OSH) was also mentioned on consolidation above $6.00. This is occurring and we maintain a BUY on this stock. Woodside Petroleum (WPL) was the other stock in this sector and although it has failed to close above $44, which was our trigger point, we continue to monitor. 

We also suggested ASX (ASX) on a break of $30.70. This has played out and the stock is looking quite attractive 


 

In overseas markets last night, the DOW JONES lost -21 points or -0.25 to close at 10739. The FTSE 100 fell -24 points or -0.44% to close at 5551. Locally, SPI Futures are indicating a drop of 14 points on the open. 

Looking across the commodity space last night, we actually saw all base metals higher led by solid gains in Copper +2.2%, Lead +2.24% & Aluminium +2.82% - Driven by a weaker USD. Precious Metals were all positive including Gold which edged ever closer to $1300 - settling at $1290.80. This is likely to offer a positive lead for the material stocks on the local market this morning. In London, RIO rose 82.2 pence suggesting a rise of $1.35 in Aussie Currency terms. BHP was 41 pence higher suggesting a rise of 67c locally. 


EQUITY OPTIONS Expiry Today

Disclaimer

James Gerrish is an Authorised Representative (Rep No. 352904) of Shaw Stockbroking Limited ("Shaw Stockbroking"). Shaw Stockbroking is a holder of Australian Financial Services Licence No 236048. Shaw Stockbroking, its directors, officers, associates and employees each declare that they, from time to time, may hold interests in financial products and/or earn brokerage, commission, fees or other benefits from financial products mentioned in this e-mail or attached documents. Unless specifically stated within this page or an attached document, any information communicated by this e-mail constitutes unsolicited general financial product advice which has been compiled without regard to any investor's individual objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not specific advice for any particular investor. Before making any decision about the information provided, you need to consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation and needs and consult your adviser. Any indicative information and assumptions used here are summarised and also may change without notice to you, particularly if based on past performance or relate to a future matter.
 

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